TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim Red Forceof Cloud9, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$393,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$476,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6576…6cc5backed Nongshim Red Force72c35,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…fefbbacked Cloud928c35,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,800650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Nongshim Red Force74c11,143$8,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.7228746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Cloud94c10,400$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3874311.6%5 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Nongshim Red Force77c8,427$6,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.443759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cloud924c8,237$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.572,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Cloud928c8,174$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29312338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud912c8,144$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.351,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cloud926c8,105$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.873,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Cloud916c7,295$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.9113543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Cloud931c7,098$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Cloud96c7,046$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.012,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cloud914c6,266$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.7485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Cloud932c6,177$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.9827346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Cloud94c5,965$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3318744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Cloud925c5,863$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Cloud97c5,533$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2614338.5%55 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Cloud92c4,954$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.970%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb4…4678backed Cloud930c3,931$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Cloud921c3,927$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.0543539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Cloud99c3,893$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9313151.1%67 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Nongshim Red Force75c3,702$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.221070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c6…9bc5backed Nongshim Red Force70c3,700$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11811656%65 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cloud914c3,481$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.1259952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cloud930c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Nongshim Red Force70c3,240$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.9913846.4%64 W · 74 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Nongshim Red Force73c3,003$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.1224750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00dd…7faabacked Nongshim Red Force70c2,955$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+221.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Cloud930c2,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.441,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Cloud99c2,467$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3911839%46 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Cloud915c2,301$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.694042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Cloud99c2,277$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb183…0badbacked Nongshim Red Force74c2,275$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.221752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Nongshim Red Force69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Nongshim Red Force70c2,133$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.834250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Cloud927c2,091$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Nongshim Red Force72c2,082$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.727451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Cloud927c2,048$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.1510937.6%41 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Cloud930c2,010$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.885746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Cloud91c2,005$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0528924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Cloud92c2,005$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0523915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Cloud96c1,964$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021840.4%88 W · 130 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Nongshim Red Force68c1,795$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.21,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Cloud926c1,770$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.4213243.9%58 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Cloud930c1,676$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Cloud928c1,515$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.6824529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Cloud933c1,504$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Cloud94c1,500$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.944738%170 W · 277 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3fa…94e8backed Cloud94c1,436$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Cloud930c1,423$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.51,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Nongshim Red Force73c1,377$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.6566947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed Nongshim Red Force69c1,355$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.0712055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…4eb8backed Cloud928c1,340$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4b…774fbacked Cloud929c1,298$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Nongshim Red Force72c1,271$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6213747.4%65 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f13…aca3backed Cloud929c1,187$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91a4…2a56backed Cloud928c1,183$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked Cloud915c1,174$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1782740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7654…fa0fbacked Nongshim Red Force74c1,147$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Cloud917c1,087$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.428438.1%32 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8778…8a09backed Cloud912c1,061$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.723644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead7…cfe8backed Cloud924c1,056$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.15438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Cloud930c1,034$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Cloud910c1,032$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Cloud931c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Nongshim Red Force69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31029236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Cloud928c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+99.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…ef4ebacked Cloud929c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29040%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Cloud926c999.98$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26375738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea3…e4babacked Nongshim Red Force74c979.67$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.651866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x63e7…c2d9backed Nongshim Red Force70c976$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd4…308cbacked Cloud99c931.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…93d7backed Nongshim Red Force73c924.33$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.576467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Cloud96c916.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7289810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x926f…0312backed Nongshim Red Force72c905$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b71…ca50backed Cloud92c897$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Nongshim Red Force72c894.1$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.841338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Cloud929c872.41$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d6…874abacked Cloud929c855$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Cloud926c778.68$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2810533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud929c776.97$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.321,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Cloud926c757.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Cloud917c751.96$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.131435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Nongshim Red Force70c719.33$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.9928843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Cloud916c700$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.44852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Nongshim Red Force72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec7…7796backed Cloud96c691.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.17837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5134…90f6backed Cloud910c685.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.72837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e98…fb58backed Nongshim Red Force72c683$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e76…771dbacked Cloud929c675$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Cloud925c646.96$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0714228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Cloud926c645.4$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.854353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Nongshim Red Force78c644.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0923752.7%125 W · 112 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Cloud928c633.69$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.437030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Cloud98c630.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514139%16 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Nongshim Red Force73c630.33$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.163366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a5…6895backed Nongshim Red Force71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Cloud925c579.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8415433.1%51 W · 103 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x722c…1011backed Cloud921c565.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.242035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe45a…4624backed Cloud929c565.62$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.032445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.