Lol · resolved market
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1225ca1e36d730cbddcc71b4171c07170c95f86e51116e085390e0ef7082af2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Nongshim Red Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Cloud9 | 58c | 9,005$5,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.25 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud9 | 37c | 5,841$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.46 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Cloud9 | 20c | 5,475$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.33 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Cloud9 | 19c | 4,155$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.12 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 3,363$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.41 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 3,344$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.27 | 247 | 50.6%125 W · 122 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cloud9 | 30c | 3,229$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.48 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Cloud9 | 53c | 2,939$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.48 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…e4babacked Cloud9 | 45c | 2,429$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Nongshim Red Force | 79c | 1,953$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Cloud9 | 25c | 1,780$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.02 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Nongshim Red Force | 77c | 1,605$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Nongshim Red Force | 73c | 1,600$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nongshim Red Force | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cloud9 | 24c | 1,500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cloud9 | 21c | 1,500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.32 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Nongshim Red Force | 72c | 1,389$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Cloud9 | 11c | 1,130$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.93 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 1,028$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Nongshim Red Force | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Cloud9 | 22c | 921.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.36 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Cloud9 | 25c | 649.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.48 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Nongshim Red Force | 57c | 503.95$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Nongshim Red Force | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…9bc5backed Nongshim Red Force | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 77c | 400.02$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Cloud9 | 11c | 400$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked Cloud9 | 6c | 369.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +310.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…e16bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 14c | 331.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed Cloud9 | 18c | 320$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Cloud9 | 29c | 307$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…eb1bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 77c | 246.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Cloud9 | 26c | 236.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Cloud9 | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Cloud9 | 25c | 191.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Cloud9 | 28c | 160$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Nongshim Red Force | 72c | 146.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Nongshim Red Force | 65c | 139.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 136$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 130.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Cloud9 | 25c | 130.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Cloud9 | 47c | 127.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…90f6backed Cloud9 | 28c | 124.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Cloud9 | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 118.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 115$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…c351backed Nongshim Red Force | 72c | 110.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Nongshim Red Force | 69c | 102.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Cloud9 | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 447 | 38%170 W · 277 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Nongshim Red Force | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Nongshim Red Force | 62c | 89.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 78c | 82.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Cloud9 | 24c | 77.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39c…fc6abacked Nongshim Red Force | 46c | 65.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Cloud9 | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Cloud9 | 24c | 61.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…4c29backed Nongshim Red Force | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked Nongshim Red Force | 77c | 39.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 212 | 55.2%117 W · 95 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Cloud9 | 37c | 30.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Cloud9 | 37c | 29.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 22.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.