NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x279ec364123a628a809bff6f18444b7e6d23844e57438e87ede47b5462313d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Lightning, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Lightning | 43c | 143,427$62,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,319.86 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hurricanes | 57c | 70,370$39,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,605.73 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Hurricanes | 56c | 26,786$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,785.71 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Hurricanes | 57c | 23,302$13,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,019.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes | 79c | 11,604$9,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.71 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lightning | 43c | 11,522$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes | 77c | 11,231$8,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.02 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Lightning | 43c | 11,059$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Lightning | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.97 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Lightning | 29c | 8,871$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.21 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea3…72c8backed Hurricanes | 58c | 8,720$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 57c | 8,402$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.15 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 43c | 6,547$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.06 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hurricanes | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Hurricanes | 58c | 5,865$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.95 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Hurricanes | 62c | 5,841$3,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.01 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 5,555$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.65 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Hurricanes | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hurricanes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.98 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Hurricanes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 40c | 4,986$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.55 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lightning | 24c | 4,338$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.05 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 3,793$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Lightning | 23c | 3,778$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.37 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lightning | 28c | 3,753$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.47 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Hurricanes | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes | 78c | 3,244$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.13 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Lightning | 42c | 3,120$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lightning | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 43c | 2,986$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.28 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 14c | 2,722$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.14 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Lightning | 42c | 2,712$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.4 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…343fbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 2,672$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes | 73c | 2,523$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.69 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes | 57c | 2,504$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.37 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c90…1694backed Lightning | 43c | 2,504$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…782fbacked Lightning | 43c | 2,495$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hurricanes | 56c | 2,327$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.08 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Lightning | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…baacbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 2,325$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hurricanes | 57c | 2,083$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.69 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 42c | 2,065$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.66 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Hurricanes | 57c | 2,028$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Lightning | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 77c | 1,965$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Lightning | 32c | 1,771$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.37 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lightning | 29c | 1,728$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hurricanes | 56c | 1,620$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.37 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 1,559$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.91 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Hurricanes | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Lightning | 42c | 1,412$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…38d5backed Hurricanes | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,372$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Hurricanes | 58c | 1,250$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hurricanes | 57c | 1,200$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.47 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Hurricanes | 70c | 1,157$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.46 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +52%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Hurricanes | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lightning | 42c | 1,059$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.83 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Lightning | 44c | 1,013$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 30c | 999.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hurricanes | 57c | 991.85$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.53 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…be90backed Lightning | 42c | 904.76$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Lightning | 46c | 878.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.48 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Hurricanes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes | 56c | 798.58$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.54 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Hurricanes | 57c | 772.74$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.28 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 690$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.17 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lightning | 16c | 683.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lightning | 29c | 683.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Hurricanes | 80c | 654.78$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Hurricanes | 58c | 637.93$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 601.89$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…92e5backed Hurricanes | 78c | 593.51$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…9e8ebacked Lightning | 43c | 588$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…4d55backed Lightning | 17c | 575.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Lightning | 42c | 568.82$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.91 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Lightning | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ec…0233backed Hurricanes | 58c | 521.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e5…604fbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 521.07$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lightning | 17c | 519$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Lightning | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lightning | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…12bcbacked Lightning | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Lightning | 20c | 498.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed Hurricanes | 59c | 491.53$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…7c92backed Hurricanes | 58c | 481.07$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hurricanes | 58c | 456.44$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…71a9backed Hurricanes | 58c | 456.43$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Lightning | 35c | 450.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.55 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…d9d2backed Hurricanes | 58c | 447.05$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Hurricanesthis page
- Lightning vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.