NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4295a8a81ae55a27345ad02aed0d3a24c90b8dabd1880273c9ad8960c735fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Hurricanes, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lightning | 67c | 14,012$9,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.9 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hurricanes | 33c | 9,790$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.75 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hurricanes | 33c | 2,301$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.33 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Hurricanes | 33c | 1,306$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.14 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hurricanes | 33c | 317.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lightning | 67c | 230$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lightning | 63c | 207.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Hurricanes | 33c | 197.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lightning | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Lightning | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Hurricanes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hurricanes | 38c | 127.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hurricanes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hurricanes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hurricanes | 33c | 96.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Hurricanes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Lightning | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 62c | 67.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Hurricanes | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hurricanes | 33c | 56.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes | 29c | 54.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Hurricanes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Hurricanes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hurricanes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hurricanes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 64c | 35.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lightning | 64c | 31.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Lightning vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Lightning vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.