NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf661e59f372c4a0b357dba46236b211e41e98fec8dff2c8bffb18ff227be7a0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Kings, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $824,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $845,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $824,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Ducks | 51c | 118,007$60,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,946.19 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Kings | 36c | 80,630$29,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,254.24 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Ducks | 52c | 77,300$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,300.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 41c | 55,157$22,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,878.61 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Ducks | 47c | 45,135$21,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,967.45 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Kings | 48c | 44,898$21,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,551.24 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Ducks | 51c | 43,306$22,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,291.6 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Ducks | 48c | 40,000$19,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,899.96 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Kings | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.94 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 52c | 29,783$15,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,487.13 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Ducks | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kings | 49c | 19,913$9,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,757.58 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Ducks | 49c | 14,800$7,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,512 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Kings | 50c | 13,681$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840.44 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 53c | 11,201$5,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,934.45 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Kings | 52c | 10,537$5,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,479.32 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 52c | 10,338$5,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.3 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…bc3bbacked Kings | 0c | 10,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 53c | 10,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Ducks | 47c | 10,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,349.97 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kings | 51c | 9,772$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983.64 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 58c | 9,606$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.64 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Ducks | 47c | 8,569$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,527.05 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Kings | 48c | 8,190$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931.2 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 48c | 7,939$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.77 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ducks | 63c | 7,792$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.42 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings | 54c | 7,743$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.22 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Kings | 48c | 7,020$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.58 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kings | 54c | 6,837$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 52c | 6,745$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.82 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kings | 52c | 6,635$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kings | 53c | 5,342$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.56 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kings | 53c | 5,266$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.73 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 49c | 5,191$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.71 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 53c | 5,170$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.17 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings | 51c | 5,000$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.95 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Kings | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Ducks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 53c | 4,673$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.69 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 51c | 4,590$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.15 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kings | 52c | 4,462$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.56 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.93 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Ducks | 51c | 4,314$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Ducks | 50c | 4,195$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Ducks | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Ducks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.98 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings | 52c | 3,786$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.72 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 53c | 3,125$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.47 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 44c | 3,006$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.32 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ducks | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kings | 49c | 2,881$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.26 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 49c | 2,835$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.68 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kings | 35c | 2,791$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.21 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Ducks | 54c | 2,759$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…d573backed Ducks | 51c | 2,643$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…16f0backed Ducks | 51c | 2,565$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 50c | 2,490$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.1 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Ducks | 53c | 2,411$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.84 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 46c | 2,269$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.2 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Kings | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Kings | 52c | 2,154$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Kings | 53c | 2,057$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.37 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Kings | 50c | 2,040$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Ducks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Kings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Kings | 51c | 1,997$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 53c | 1,983$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.21 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 53c | 1,979$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.08 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 47c | 1,940$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.69 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Kings | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Kings | 53c | 1,890$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 21c | 1,847$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.31 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Ducks | 50c | 1,715$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.5 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 1,677$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Ducks | 53c | 1,620$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Kings | 50c | 1,563$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kings | 53c | 1,534$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.02 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kings | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…5e6bbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,475$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43e…623fbacked Kings | 51c | 1,475$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 47c | 1,453$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.51 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…3edabacked Ducks | 49c | 1,448$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…4b30backed Kings | 51c | 1,448$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe769…47bcbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,407$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…1024backed Kings | 51c | 1,407$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Ducks | 48c | 1,404$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…997bbacked Kings | 51c | 1,374$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…4758backed Ducks | 49c | 1,374$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…c6bebacked Kings | 51c | 1,372$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6237…1c35backed Ducks | 49c | 1,372$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f3…e3fbbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,368$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…d98dbacked Kings | 51c | 1,368$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Kings | 6c | 1,361$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Ducksthis page
- Kings vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.