MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee1090e55123122eabc85e13f16941a99c99ed7db06c108b77d89ea8a1b4f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Chicago White Sox, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 18,989$7,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,516.96 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.66 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 11,964$7,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905.27 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 10,800$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.2 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 10,571$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.4 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 9,745$6,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 8,838$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 6,931$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 6,534$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.3 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago White Sox | 0c | 5,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 5,588$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.3 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 4,600$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 4,045$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.25 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 3,842$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.17 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 3,665$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 2,491$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.58 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 2,121$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,072$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.74 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…caa2backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,043$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,042$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,873$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.62 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 1,742$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Chicago White Sox | 8c | 1,462$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 1,427$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.19 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 1,351$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.01 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Chicago White Sox | 5c | 1,019$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,010$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,000$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.92 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,000$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Chicago White Sox | 6c | 997.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 974.93$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.12 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 858$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.88 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 827.84$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Chicago White Sox | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chicago White Sox | 4c | 781.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 745.14$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 703.56$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 610$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…e999backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 594.12$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…0be2backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 593.76$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 564$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 550.21$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Chicago White Sox | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago White Sox | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 499.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 494.56$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…57e8backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 482.93$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 481.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 466.59$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 413.95$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.58 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 406$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Chicago White Sox | 7c | 396.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 359.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Chicago White Sox | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 19c | 343.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 340$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 334.63$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 332.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 330.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 325.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Chicago White Sox | 22c | 318.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dc…e206backed Chicago White Sox | 6c | 302$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Chicago White Sox | 6c | 297.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 295.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed Chicago White Sox | 9c | 277.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Chicago White Sox | 4c | 275$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…0ec1backed Chicago White Sox | 9c | 272.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 270.45$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 264.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 258$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 258$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 258$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox | 8c | 249.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…9481backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 241.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Chicago White Sox | 15c | 228.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 219.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 212.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 209.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 200.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.