MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94605e3e0b981e7e77444a236cc7e78951e4aa066fd2a6a04e74ce5a05fc14aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Los Angeles Angels, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 72c | 20,404$14,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,787.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 16,388$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 1,696$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.94 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 827.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 71c | 686.5$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletics | 70c | 677.35$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…7a17backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 557.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 542$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Athletics | 69c | 468.75$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 432.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 72c | 284.76$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 70c | 279.16$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 253.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 199.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 166.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 71c | 163$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…23ccbacked Athletics | 73c | 153.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 146.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Athletics | 75c | 136.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 131.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 128.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 117.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 78.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 70c | 75.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics | 69c | 72.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…38dbbacked Athletics | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 62.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 60.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Athletics | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 49.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 48.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 46.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 44.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Athletics | 72c | 42.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 42.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 41.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Athletics | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Athletics | 71c | 35.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.