Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb488aba997a7aacdafd1e5a4214db88abf4941d3bd4aec664415c8ed9b968f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 4,273$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 68c | 2,607$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.04 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 74c | 675.47$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 69c | 448.09$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 29c | 413.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 26c | 304.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 74c | 267.84$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Under | 29c | 238.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 220.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 70c | 215.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 75c | 112.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f39…1617backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 73c | 64.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 60.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 76c | 57.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 56.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 33c | 54.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 43.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Under | 33c | 39.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 72c | 36.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 67c | 23.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 67c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 71c | 19.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 78c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5this page
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Over won
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.