Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58d767e1e2538cd5b8126919cb09ed10964c72fc5ccbf3c29675bdb951b90736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 6,570$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 1,519$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 916.76$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 48c | 778.85$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 60c | 761.5$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 40c | 679.56$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 45c | 504.82$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 46c | 499.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 49c | 408.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 67c | 388$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 53c | 376.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 328.92$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 35c | 301.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 53c | 280.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 53c | 268.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 52c | 267$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 243.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Under | 61c | 163.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 74c | 140.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 133.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 22c | 126.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 53c | 119.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 47c | 119.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 53c | 109.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 41c | 106.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 21c | 80.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 54c | 78.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 47c | 59.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 25c | 56.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 49c | 50.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 49c | 48.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 42.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 48c | 40.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 53c | 38.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 47c | 35.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 53c | 30.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 55c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 49c | 25.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Over | 48c | 23.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Under | 49c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…1395backed Over | 71c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…f02fbacked Over | 59c | 16.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5this page
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.