Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42f20d1457db3e41770b18e840ff5f50eaf5fd0fab11102f0b8f1a5c2297678f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 4,730$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Under | 35c | 4,141$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…78ffbacked Under | 78c | 1,734$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,399$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 32c | 1,119$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Under | 69c | 1,105$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 56c | 781.69$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 45c | 699.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 68c | 293$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 273.36$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.03 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 52c | 212.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…081ebacked Over | 33c | 168.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 130$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 36c | 112.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Under | 64c | 110.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 50c | 96.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 44c | 86.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 22c | 74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 33c | 66.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 41c | 60.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 70c | 52.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 29c | 44.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 28c | 40.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 34c | 31.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 68c | 15.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e05backed Under | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5this page
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.