MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1e04074942c53ed41328eea8165703a8cf4822faf9651224f8c58edb5a5e420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof LG Twins, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 3,665$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.28 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed LG Twins | 51c | 3,489$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.94 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 3,294$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.88 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed LG Twins | 45c | 2,676$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.22 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LG Twins | 30c | 1,743$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.66 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 992.05$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.11 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed LG Twins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 404$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 9c | 396.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed LG Twins | 49c | 385.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.26 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked LG Twins | 46c | 370$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked LG Twins | 50c | 300.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed LG Twins | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 273.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 28c | 265$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 47c | 207.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed LG Twins | 30c | 205$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 27c | 197.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 182.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed LG Twins | 48c | 175.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed LG Twins | 46c | 174$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LG Twins | 30c | 171.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked LG Twins | 29c | 167$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed LG Twins | 47c | 129.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 40c | 122.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 48c | 110.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked LG Twins | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked LG Twins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LG Twins | 30c | 95.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…289cbacked LG Twins | 50c | 75.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LG Twins | 49c | 69.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 47c | 68.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed LG Twins | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 67.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed LG Twins | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LG Twins | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed LG Twins | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 48c | 54.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed LG Twins | 49c | 53.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 27c | 51.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed LG Twins | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 41c | 46.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…e61bbacked LG Twins | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked LG Twins | 51c | 40.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed LG Twins | 30c | 38.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LG Twins | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed LG Twins | 48c | 31.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed LG Twins | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 29.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Kia Tigers | 68c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b64…d469backed LG Twins | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.