Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e120d0adc5c1f73ab0dd1b88685fe4d29ecd11fb4c8252e218350d9e48e1681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Stan Wawrinka, Alex Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $548,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Alex Michelsen | 68c | 29,732$20,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,560.15 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Stan Wawrinka | 39c | 25,437$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stan Wawrinka | 20c | 22,503$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 10,405$6,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.05 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stan Wawrinka | 28c | 9,318$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Stan Wawrinka | 38c | 7,000$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.71 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…3641backed Stan Wawrinka | 26c | 6,213$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Alex Michelsen | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.96 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stan Wawrinka | 60c | 5,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.52 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Michelsen | 36c | 5,400$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Stan Wawrinka | 15c | 4,054$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.62 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 3,899$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.73 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Alex Michelsen | 78c | 3,831$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.58 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alex Michelsen | 60c | 3,561$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.07 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Stan Wawrinka | 1c | 3,473$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Stan Wawrinka | 37c | 3,304$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.88 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2c45backed Alex Michelsen | 63c | 2,680$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.6 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 2,611$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.11 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Stan Wawrinka | 39c | 2,555$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.44 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Alex Michelsen | 34c | 2,534$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Stan Wawrinka | 19c | 2,530$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.88 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Stan Wawrinka | 41c | 2,503$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.26 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stan Wawrinka | 28c | 2,385$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Stan Wawrinka | 22c | 2,328$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.43 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Stan Wawrinka | 31c | 2,328$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.57 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Stan Wawrinka | 5c | 2,276$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Stan Wawrinka | 35c | 2,219$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.31 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stan Wawrinka | 40c | 2,150$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Alex Michelsen | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Stan Wawrinka | 22c | 1,565$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Stan Wawrinka | 5c | 1,419$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 130 | 13.8%18 W · 112 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…afc3backed Stan Wawrinka | 21c | 1,399$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.23 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 1,364$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.03 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Stan Wawrinka | 44c | 1,248$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.81 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Stan Wawrinka | 47c | 1,225$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.51 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Stan Wawrinka | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…3c0dbacked Stan Wawrinka | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Stan Wawrinka | 37c | 1,041$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.17 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Stan Wawrinka | 34c | 1,000$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Stan Wawrinka | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Stan Wawrinka | 40c | 970.48$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.9 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Alex Michelsen | 63c | 968.51$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.79 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Stan Wawrinka | 38c | 921.85$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.74 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stan Wawrinka | 37c | 907.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.89 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Stan Wawrinka | 23c | 872.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 868.02$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…33ddbacked Stan Wawrinka | 29c | 847.27$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Stan Wawrinka | 9c | 807.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 794.95$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.03 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Stan Wawrinka | 34c | 781.29$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.64 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Alex Michelsen | 54c | 780$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…c9c8backed Stan Wawrinka | 37c | 700$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Stan Wawrinka | 5c | 640.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Stan Wawrinka | 18c | 557.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Stan Wawrinka | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Stan Wawrinka | 42c | 550.32$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.13 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Alex Michelsen | 60c | 533.42$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Stan Wawrinka | 23c | 524.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…fb90backed Alex Michelsen | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Stan Wawrinka | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stan Wawrinka | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…bfc4backed Stan Wawrinka | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Alex Michelsen | 64c | 499.28$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Stan Wawrinka | 33c | 478.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.06 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Alex Michelsen | 62c | 466.5$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 449.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Michelsen | 61c | 430$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Alex Michelsen | 61c | 421.83$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.19 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Stan Wawrinka | 45c | 413.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alex Michelsen | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…8eaebacked Stan Wawrinka | 39c | 397.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 377.31$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 370.49$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Alex Michelsen | 61c | 363.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Alex Michelsen | 59c | 359.69$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 215 | 60.5%130 W · 85 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Stan Wawrinka | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Stan Wawrinka | 43c | 349.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Stan Wawrinka | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…5441backed Stan Wawrinka | 23c | 339.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Alex Michelsen | 63c | 333$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf42…0997backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 326.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Stan Wawrinka | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Alex Michelsen | 56c | 325.46$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stan Wawrinka | 49c | 322.3$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Stan Wawrinka | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Stan Wawrinka | 31c | 299.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…1f55backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 294.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 290.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stan Wawrinka | 49c | 289.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Stan Wawrinka | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stan Wawrinka | 28c | 277.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Stan Wawrinka | 42c | 265.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…e738backed Alex Michelsen | 62c | 264.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alex Michelsen | 70c | 262.38$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Stan Wawrinka | 27c | 260.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Alex Michelsen | 59c | 256.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Stan Wawrinka | 37c | 253.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Stan Wawrinka | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Stan Wawrinka | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Stan Wawrinka | 17c | 249.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wawrinka vs MichelsenMichelsen won
- Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)Michelsen won
- Wawrinka vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Wawrinka vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.