TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9082…afc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
22
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.92
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Facundo Acostabacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.04
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.57
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.23
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.15
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Busebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,294.06
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilasbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$679
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.3
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Max Schoenhausbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$101.12
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,139.36
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$430.56
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignonbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$581.28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.55
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.09
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$389.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.