TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31e0…94b0backed No54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes29c2,727$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.331,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c2,534$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.7633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c2,305$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.1848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes46c2,226$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.8562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes16c2,191$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc60…66a2backed Yes59c2,046$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes49c1,679$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.584252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c1,250$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.171,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes14c1,075$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3911916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No76c657.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.922152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes24c458.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9082…afc3backed Yes49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…2b5cbacked Yes19c446.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes25c405.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes22c379.44$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.351225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes17c353.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0226041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.516644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No64c338.04$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes44c293.25$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.64425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0900…6258backed Yes24c277.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes37c229.3$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.841520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa025…1607backed Yes20c199.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Yes8c191.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.281414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked Yes18c171.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.831717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-76.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No76c154.1$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.527060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Yes67c148.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes17c147.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes14c139.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.772748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes19c125.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c112.15$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab8…1920backed Yes62c107.94$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes25c105$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.615951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes11c102.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.162842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddbc…aadfbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ba…267abacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315046%23 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Yes11c99.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4742…6576backed Yes21c94.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No74c91.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…ed83backed Yes37c89.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+86.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No74c83.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.664170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04ee…bc1abacked Yes47c82.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeda…e7afbacked Yes37c82.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes48c81.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x756c…651bbacked Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes24c78.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes19c67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No73c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.655829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes37c59.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0222854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes61c54.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa866…ea51backed Yes35c54.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes36c51.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-75.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7650…5099backed Yes56c44.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes47c42.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Yes50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No66c41.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.932634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Yes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed No58c32.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Yes49c30.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked No80c29.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd030…2133backed Yes50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7615071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb4…ba5bbacked Yes60c25.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No74c25.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.68643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd123…31c0backed Yes53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4998…07d3backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No69c18.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.677138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.