Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x016154aa90c0dd77fdd9f1e0dbb91d1d41b95e0d6b2f20e04326b9ffa085858d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edas Butvilasof Lorenzo Sonego, Edas Butvilas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Sonego | 14c | 48,128$6,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,721.53 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Edas Butvilas | 77c | 12,742$9,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.05 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Edas Butvilas | 61c | 12,412$7,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.81 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Edas Butvilas | 45c | 10,000$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,515.1 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Sonego | 37c | 9,883$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.06 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Edas Butvilas | 45c | 8,975$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.49 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8038backed Lorenzo Sonego | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Edas Butvilas | 75c | 7,832$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.73 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 25c | 7,591$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.83 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 7,431$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.55 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…bd59backed Edas Butvilas | 59c | 6,821$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.83 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Edas Butvilas | 73c | 6,812$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.73 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Edas Butvilas | 71c | 6,115$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.23 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 32c | 5,886$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.34 | 619 | 40.7%252 W · 367 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 50c | 5,176$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 58c | 4,287$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 438 | 63.9%280 W · 158 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Edas Butvilas | 57c | 4,271$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.62 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Lorenzo Sonego | 28c | 4,019$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.35 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Edas Butvilas | 55c | 3,871$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.08 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Edas Butvilas | 57c | 3,738$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.48 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 6c | 3,507$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Lorenzo Sonego | 51c | 3,175$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.7 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Lorenzo Sonego | 55c | 3,084$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.3 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Edas Butvilas | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.95 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Edas Butvilas | 59c | 2,947$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.8 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lorenzo Sonego | 60c | 2,945$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.76 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 2,934$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Edas Butvilas | 47c | 2,917$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.26 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lorenzo Sonego | 31c | 2,819$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.03 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 43c | 2,749$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 485 | 55.9%271 W · 214 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Sonego | 47c | 2,623$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.41 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Edas Butvilas | 42c | 2,358$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.27 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed Lorenzo Sonego | 13c | 2,328$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Lorenzo Sonego | 7c | 2,222$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 247 | 41.7%103 W · 144 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Edas Butvilas | 44c | 2,202$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.24 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…4778backed Lorenzo Sonego | 42c | 2,132$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.48 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Lorenzo Sonego | 59c | 2,034$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 595 | 53.8%320 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Edas Butvilas | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 1,697$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.99 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…afc3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 43c | 1,582$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Lorenzo Sonego | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lorenzo Sonego | 53c | 1,381$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.93 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Lorenzo Sonego | 14c | 1,355$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Edas Butvilas | 61c | 1,328$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.21 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Lorenzo Sonego | 44c | 1,324$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.43 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Edas Butvilas | 43c | 1,316$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.04 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Edas Butvilas | 70c | 1,245$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.39 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b5…b370backed Lorenzo Sonego | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Edas Butvilas | 66c | 1,173$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.91 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Edas Butvilas | 61c | 1,052$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.97 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Edas Butvilas | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…48fabacked Lorenzo Sonego | 59c | 1,046$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Edas Butvilas | 59c | 1,035$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.15 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Lorenzo Sonego | 35c | 1,029$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 872 | 37.2%324 W · 548 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Edas Butvilas | 62c | 1,004$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.81 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Lorenzo Sonego | 44c | 1,000$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.27 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Lorenzo Sonego | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Edas Butvilas | 42c | 949.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.88 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Edas Butvilas | 43c | 926.58$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.15 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Edas Butvilas | 53c | 879.55$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.55 | 1,073 | 60.4%648 W · 425 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Lorenzo Sonego | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Lorenzo Sonego | 36c | 824.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,667 | 52.8%881 W · 786 L | +43.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Lorenzo Sonego | 58c | 803.34$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Edas Butvilas | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 794.21$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.2 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Sonego | 46c | 791.95$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.24 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Edas Butvilas | 49c | 789.75$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.73 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Edas Butvilas | 80c | 785.86$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lorenzo Sonego | 55c | 754.95$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.22 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lorenzo Sonego | 58c | 726.19$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.19 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lorenzo Sonego | 11c | 716.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lorenzo Sonego | 56c | 714.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Edas Butvilas | 42c | 714.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.28 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Edas Butvilas | 43c | 698.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.02 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lorenzo Sonego | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Edas Butvilas | 61c | 634.43$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Edas Butvilas | 79c | 632.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Edas Butvilas | 56c | 627.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.55 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…dcdbbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 41c | 614.16$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Lorenzo Sonego | 58c | 596.55$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 1,011 | 41.4%419 W · 592 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…7363backed Lorenzo Sonego | 43c | 582.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Edas Butvilas | 70c | 564$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Lorenzo Sonego | 21c | 539.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Edas Butvilas | 57c | 529.34$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.92 | 421 | 51.1%215 W · 206 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 526.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Edas Butvilas | 42c | 521.55$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.32 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…11a3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 58c | 504.98$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.84 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Edas Butvilas | 50c | 500$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Edas Butvilas | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 423 | 44%186 W · 237 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Edas Butvilas | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed Edas Butvilas | 60c | 496.67$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Edas Butvilas | 43c | 493.01$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.02 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Lorenzo Sonego | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 677 | 57.6%390 W · 287 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Lorenzo Sonego | 20c | 483.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 55c | 477.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Edas Butvilas | 66c | 462.2$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Edas Butvilas | 50c | 457.9$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilasthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sonego vs ButvilasButvilas won
- Set Handicap: Sonego (-1.5) vs Butvilas (+1.5)Butvilas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.