South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad741befff2939b3cf4c2ba912e3cab361b5519c14a49cd8ce97cbced01e675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 9,140$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.6 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 7,095$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.43 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Over | 49c | 4,865$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.01 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 4,689$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.22 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 44c | 4,070$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.08 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Over | 58c | 3,837$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.05 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,585$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,162$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.02 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Over | 66c | 903.42$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 769.49$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.05 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 767.82$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.3 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 44c | 703.36$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.88 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 72c | 556.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 555$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 55c | 506.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Under | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 481.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 44c | 472.2$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 65c | 337.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 302.16$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 80c | 275.71$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 33c | 273.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 60c | 263.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 44c | 218$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…ec9ebacked Over | 60c | 209.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 13c | 198.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 42c | 196$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…0946backed Over | 44c | 137.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Over | 69c | 132.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 44c | 118.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 110.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 55c | 104.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 23c | 92.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…9d2dbacked Over | 66c | 81.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 72.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 33c | 71.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 44c | 65.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c87fbacked Under | 37c | 53.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed Over | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…29c3backed Over | 30c | 41.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 40.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 53c | 37.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 55c | 34.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 60c | 33.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 55c | 32.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 58c | 29.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…6656backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 23.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 60c | 22.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 56c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 59c | 18.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5this page
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.