South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x984c9ad2f76da84f8ecd26823ff6ef61c0d90393aa5db76980dfdb32c38e90c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 25c | 4,429$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.99 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…e14abacked No | 75c | 3,928$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed No | 56c | 980.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 44c | 473.85$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.54 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes | 49c | 401.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 51c | 379.96$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.19 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 50c | 282.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Yes | 50c | 223.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 208.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 30c | 150.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 11c | 148.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 50c | 100.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 98.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 81.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked Yes | 50c | 80.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 21c | 71.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…318abacked Yes | 31c | 56.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 50c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…e682backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.