Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c3b7ad1b96c88a8f7a5ecf82ee9cc94ae8e8545ab4a6f1a2f28047591fbb34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 11c | 6,950$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.32 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 4,961$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 70c | 2,500$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 62c | 2,387$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 25c | 2,278$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 2,071$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.27 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,594$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.76 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 1,055$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.42 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 78c | 1,006$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 61c | 923.42$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 63c | 796.9$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 20c | 756.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 53c | 537.06$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.42 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 71c | 401.38$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 314.52$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.52 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 307.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 42c | 304.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 72c | 279.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed Yes | 47c | 254.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…a348backed Yes | 48c | 219.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 42c | 218.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…ab25backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 62c | 168.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 29c | 157.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 146.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7572backed No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 19c | 131.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 19c | 122.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed No | 53c | 117.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked Yes | 48c | 117.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 64c | 110.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 61c | 87.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 53c | 87.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 80c | 83.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 62c | 81.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c87fbacked No | 16c | 69.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 61c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 47c | 50.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed Yes | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 64c | 46.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 62c | 41.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…1326backed Yes | 63c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a3…24d5backed Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed No | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. Viborg FF end in a draw?No won
- Will Viborg FF win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.