Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b79efa7dba916fbfed069308c2415e9c95c55255be44d37f65b5ef22f4b413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 8,851$5,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.84 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 4,244$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.75 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed No | 41c | 4,119$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 73c | 4,003$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.93 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 3,019$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.42 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Yes | 66c | 2,043$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 1,603$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.39 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,507$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.86 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 80c | 1,250$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 1,210$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.1 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 35c | 1,095$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.26 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Yes | 66c | 945.79$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 729.16$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 718.95$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes | 4c | 646.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 72c | 575.2$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.27 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 73c | 461.85$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 447.75$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 425.95$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 74c | 407.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 54c | 389.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 46c | 341.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 67c | 327.4$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 294.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 63c | 232.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 50c | 201.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 196.47$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Yes | 67c | 146.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 129.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 66c | 123.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 74c | 114$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 112$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Yes | 39c | 98.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Yes | 61c | 94.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 33c | 90.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 79c | 86.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 77c | 78.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 64.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 70c | 62.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 57.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 52.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 69c | 51.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 62c | 49.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Yes | 52c | 47.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 45.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 75c | 40.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 70c | 35.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c87fbacked No | 62c | 35.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 60c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…7b0fbacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed No | 73c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.