TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x912a…2e6abacked No51c55,899$28,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,640.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes50c35,342$17,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,671.29649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes0c12,188$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c10,125$5,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0191,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes50c9,061$4,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,503.0214761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No50c7,922$3,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9612835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes46c6,245$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.1477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes47c5,975$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.2698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No50c5,200$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes50c5,020$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5102934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes53c5,000$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.9610273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes32c4,752$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00c…f4febacked Yes45c4,397$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes49c3,600$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.8325851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes35c2,839$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes50c2,684$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.8718655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes49c2,295$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.59854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes50c2,161$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.2853046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes47c2,154$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.4299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked Yes49c2,125$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes47c2,051$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes48c1,601$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.0568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Yes50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes51c1,391$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.5216657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c1,260$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.541,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Yes51c1,235$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.074959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60012263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes53c1,170$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.0452639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes51c1,143$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No49c1,111$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No50c1,011$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.4147240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes51c999.96$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.985326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Yes50c967.42$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes47c879.98$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9235247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed No49c874.61$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No72c866.02$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9713952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No55c723.67$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.652065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No52c692.9$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes49c688.35$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes50c680$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked Yes50c672$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No52c650.32$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4712247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30015858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes49c575.82$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.157951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes41c533.21$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.635131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes50c447.39$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.733346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c425.87$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2737649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes51c413.73$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No51c353$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5127058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No50c333.53$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c317.78$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3467…6787backed Yes50c312.06$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13011759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13012162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes50c242$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.961,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes25c240$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No50c223.91$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1914129.8%42 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes52c222.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes50c219.51$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.597726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No72c217.31$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.857564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c215.59$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11070249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes57c205.95$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.396460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c203.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2880358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No64c201.27$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.281,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No71c190$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3418967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No65c188.52$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes54c165.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.457962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes32c160.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9410249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes25c160$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4644350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8014459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes49c157$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7016955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c135.72$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.673,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6715051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes12c130.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.