TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes22c9,093$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,092.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c7,941$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,219.5377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c7,372$5,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,488.1498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No71c6,087$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3004852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No78c5,287$4,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100.5614761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No77c3,529$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.1910273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes32c2,956$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.131145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes23c1,893$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.2968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No68c1,856$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.4427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe18…3980backed Yes19c1,585$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+201.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes31c1,370$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.6152639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed No76c1,308$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No53c1,265$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.211454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c1,018$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.071,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7901050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c962.98$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.3339567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No76c950.9$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.5747240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes33c939.39$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.392544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes45c885.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No62c795.95$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2812247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes35c689.05$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.732564%16 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No77c680.26$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.819052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes74c648.51$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.241,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes2c600$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58813228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes30c560.53$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Yes33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3352927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes25c490.71$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.953040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No76c461.19$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7418655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c450$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No76c443.16$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes22c434.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.311,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No74c429.93$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.156851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes36c413.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.222946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28412343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No76c385$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.153253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes36c380$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9825851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes28c373.65$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.6235247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c370.52$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes58c345$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.920660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No62c327.66$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.159437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No21c324.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.65147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No50c289$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c271.93$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes21c263$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8222042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes43c260.03$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7619960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c237.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.581,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c212$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes25c200$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Yes28c187.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.021540%6 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes74c183.93$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.777364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No50c178.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0313952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes38c174$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes30c166.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.031533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+90.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes65c150.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.158241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No76c132$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c128.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.63,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes30c123.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8410753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No59c123.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.725259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed No47c109$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.432737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes28c108.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No61c106.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Yes24c103$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.918971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes25c98.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.531741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No73c95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9318967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c91.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0624920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes39c90.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No32c80.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.581361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c74.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes68c72.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.429555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c68.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No69c67.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.455131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No50c63.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.554663%29 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2416159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe1af…d23bbacked No75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451560%9 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes25c59.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.918651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed No57c59.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.513259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes76c58.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes25c58.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.83023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes70c53.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1218774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes71c52.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.332860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c50.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3735149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No35c49.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.343141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes70c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6215676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes24c49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.245742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes73c47.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.72157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No71c46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6837249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ea…86cabacked Yes71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127100%7 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+137.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc87a…2dddbacked Yes27c40.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed No78c38.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.094355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No75c36.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1824859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes71c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.577962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.