South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4d2a52a1dfa963941d97d50998cb5c876e895eca7c802a3c2a0379b97e538c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.89 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 13,098$6,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 9c | 3,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 2,701$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.8 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…5bcfbacked No | 78c | 2,057$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 50c | 1,226$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.44 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 865.05$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 45c | 655.41$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.63 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 52c | 562.08$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 26c | 555.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 46c | 549.7$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 56c | 433.53$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 44c | 388.11$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.34 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 340.27$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked No | 47c | 251.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 235.57$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 15c | 234.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 49c | 198.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 46c | 196$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 49c | 170.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c87fbacked Yes | 22c | 168.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…61e2backed Yes | 10c | 148.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 55c | 147.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 142.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 52c | 108.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 14c | 107.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 12c | 97.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 69c | 96.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 64c | 95.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 31c | 94.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 48c | 89.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 85.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 70c | 85.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 48c | 84.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 19c | 83.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes | 38c | 77.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 27c | 68.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 73c | 67.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…0a9ebacked No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 49c | 63.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 79c | 62.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…fc60backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 48c | 56.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 53.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 48c | 47.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 49c | 46.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked No | 46c | 46.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Yes | 48c | 45.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 55c | 36.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed No | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked No | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…b372backed Yes | 61c | 24.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 78c | 13.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will América de Cali vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.