Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a4af138c7e3c92f44f93f07a9ad59407469822c79ebb8e0448940727cf1c80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 9,193$6,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 16c | 7,609$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.9 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 53c | 5,699$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.61 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 2,644$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 1,575$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.07 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 2c | 1,214$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 50c | 1,176$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.63 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 44c | 1,088$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.26 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 55c | 909.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 58c | 799.59$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.11 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 68c | 724.21$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.68 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 21c | 587.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 45c | 531.09$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 522.95$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.81 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Under | 34c | 441.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 40c | 429.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 425.49$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 58c | 377.19$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.23 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…a968backed Over | 45c | 253.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 46c | 217.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…f273backed Under | 59c | 208$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 47c | 195.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 14c | 178.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 56c | 172.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Under | 47c | 163.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 42c | 163.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 17c | 154.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 137.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 132$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Under | 45c | 107.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…ad0ebacked Over | 45c | 101.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 99.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 79c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 15c | 91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 79.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 62.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 47.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 47.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 42c | 47.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 37.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 25.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c87fbacked Over | 80c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 75c | 20.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…5782backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ed18backed Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe389…8faabacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.