Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4aa3e67b94e889b7f4621127b87de85d45651210e475ea5ab2d80ea2b25299b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Shenhua FCof Wuhan San Zhen FC, Shanghai Shenhua FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 8c | 3,072$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.33 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…a6c2backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,592$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…9746backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,576$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…eebcbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,540$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…8bc7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,506$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…b8d9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,488$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…6cc4backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,473$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2242…9bb1backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,461$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3941…f249backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,457$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…4197backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,455$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…e5d2backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,438$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…5859backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,433$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf2…a62fbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,431$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…4ffcbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…c832backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,427$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…03afbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,418$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…3577backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,418$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c4…1b22backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,397$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9790…5980backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,392$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…ee57backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,389$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ee…ed6bbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,380$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1f94backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,355$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…b45dbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,282$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…02a4backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,278$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1127…479fbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,275$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d1…1e29backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,144$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…a4c9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,107$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…95fbbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,103$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…c1efbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,093$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…fdc1backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,080$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…1956backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,075$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…6759backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,069$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80a…cdccbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,056$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…76e3backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,030$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…e3a4backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 7c | 1,017$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…38ebbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,007$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…8211backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…40c5backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 996$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…4bf1backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 978$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…3697backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 977.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…5dc8backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 941$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +356.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…191cbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 938$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…151dbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 933$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e7…2fbbbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 932$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 8c | 218.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 6c | 181.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 56c | 57.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.