Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7937ddd0367d923c28434e4a82ce6debf66c24639f1ebd6295bd20cc669d1c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuhan San Zhen FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Wuhan San Zhen FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 62c | 14,291$8,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,437.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 8,425$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.88 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 60c | 6,486$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.94 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 3,633$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 56c | 3,536$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.41 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 3,394$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 33c | 2,475$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.47 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41c | 2,218$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.38 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 1,495$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.14 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 1,426$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.05 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…1b6dbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 37c | 936$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 934.81$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.88 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 631.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 60c | 443.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 405.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 59c | 388.08$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.11 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 368.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 255$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41c | 221.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 211.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 59c | 205.78$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 44c | 197$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 64c | 195.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 46c | 190.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 43c | 181$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 56c | 167.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 156.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 149.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 61c | 138.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 62c | 137.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 131.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 44c | 110.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 97.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 97.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 89.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 84.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 65c | 65.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 58.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 58.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…4431backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 38.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 37c | 35.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 35.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 29.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 44c | 28.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 63c | 20.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 59c | 20.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 64c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.