MLB · resolved market

Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a84e07e7d035c1a00d79652c4e48cb7a74fcbbaf6d6a39ced0d8abbeb64d7d7

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,787 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over	50c	15,136$7,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,568.06	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	50c	8,472$4,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,206.35	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	50c	3,132$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.46	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	50c	3,000$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	50c	2,667$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.31	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	49c	2,499$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.68	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	51c	1,644$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.03	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	51c	1,362$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.49	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over	51c	1,062$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.86	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over	56c	1,044$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.36	532	61.8%329 W · 203 L	+20.6wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	57c	815.26$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.28	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	53c	815.07$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.79	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	44c	797.41$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.86	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	49c	752.52$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.79	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	50c	700$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	272	49.3%134 W · 138 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	51c	674.9$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.7	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over	51c	668.67$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.65	446	48.7%217 W · 229 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	46c	666.6$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.16	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Over	51c	519.49$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.79	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	44c	473.99$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.38	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	466.01$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.69	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	384	55.2%212 W · 172 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Under	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-5.3wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	50c	360$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	51c	352.94$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under	51c	348.2$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.58	197	52.3%103 W · 94 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	56c	299.9$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.44	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	50c	285.07$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.54	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under	50c	284$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over	51c	262.88$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.81	243	50.6%123 W · 120 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over	51c	252.14$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.55	185	51.4%95 W · 90 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	51c	209.41$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.61	452	46.2%209 W · 243 L	-18.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	35c	204.4$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.54	996	24.6%245 W · 751 L	-70.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	42c	159.27$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.51	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Over	48c	150.23$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.12	174	46%80 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	70c	140$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under	50c	118.42$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.21	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Over	51c	117.86$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.75	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over	51c	114.55$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.13	271	46.9%127 W · 144 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under	52c	91.06$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.35	304	52%158 W · 146 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	51c	83.55$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.94	524	49%257 W · 267 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Under	50c	75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf00…2e44backed Under	56c	71.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	49c	69.41$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	51c	69.41$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	395	53.7%212 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	42c	60.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	677	42.2%286 W · 391 L	-36.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x807d…72a0backed Under	50c	55.06$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	50c	52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	297	52.5%156 W · 141 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	41c	52$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	59c	51.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.21	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe36…5ceabacked Over	51c	51.04$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.01	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-4.9wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over	71c	50.22$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	185	47.6%88 W · 97 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over	51c	48.94$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.98	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under	50c	48.08$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	40c	45.79$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.23	499	42.9%214 W · 285 L	-31.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed Over	51c	44.98$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.04	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-6.5wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	47c	44.78$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.74	946	48.9%463 W · 483 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	49c	41.38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e7…c87fbacked Over	49c	36.08$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over	51c	33.69$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.51	294	50.7%149 W · 145 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over	51c	32.24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.8	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eae…8c33backed Over	51c	28.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.28	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x600b…14b1backed Over	51c	26.14$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.81	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under	47c	25.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	447	37.4%167 W · 280 L	-24.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeceb…29a4backed Over	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Over	50c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	348	43.4%151 W · 197 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under	53c	21.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	-23.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	55c	20.8$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under	50c	20.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89ab…89acbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over	74c	16.19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	328	57.9%190 W · 138 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White SoxChicago Cubs won
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White SoxYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event