TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$419,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$440,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs56c40,914$23,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,905.3386548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox40c35,363$14,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,133.1510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Chicago White Sox43c33,764$14,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,518.357755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Chicago White Sox43c23,256$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00014943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.9860451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs54c18,519$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,518.5298149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox43c17,010$7,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,314.31,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs65c16,756$10,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,877.4526056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Chicago White Sox0c15,112$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0440629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Chicago Cubs57c13,651$7,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.787550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs55c13,559$7,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,151.053,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago White Sox44c11,776$5,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,181.4850153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox44c11,682$5,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,162.92,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs56c11,385$6,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,030.665,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Chicago Cubs59c8,514$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.3124344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox39c7,439$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.514,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c6…d4a3backed Chicago White Sox1c7,056$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.071729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs64c6,714$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.566,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs63c6,639$4,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.211,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Chicago White Sox44c6,621$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.248441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs56c6,559$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.8277951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Chicago Cubs53c6,109$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.1311947.1%56 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Chicago Cubs57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5803148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Chicago White Sox43c5,814$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50037953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox25c5,634$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Chicago Cubs64c5,271$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.9815659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs72c5,213$3,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.511,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Chicago White Sox44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs66c4,981$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.938,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago White Sox0c4,932$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.138762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox40c4,278$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.012,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Chicago White Sox45c4,021$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80028944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs56c3,878$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.2811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox23c3,717$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.658,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.241,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox46c3,473$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.5289153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3201,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked Chicago Cubs57c2,759$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.372339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ab…97b6backed Chicago Cubs54c2,589$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.041275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs70c2,241$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.864,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Chicago Cubs58c2,182$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.441030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Chicago White Sox0c2,143$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.437416.2%12 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs54c2,021$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.642,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs67c1,984$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.441,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Chicago Cubs57c1,679$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.8411741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago White Sox24c1,642$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago White Sox42c1,637$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.0579147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Chicago White Sox42c1,607$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.9661947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs55c1,569$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.316,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64544451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs55c1,447$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.091,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Chicago White Sox32c1,334$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.2411331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Chicago Cubs47c1,270$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.5614243%61 W · 81 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox42c1,228$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.555,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Chicago Cubs57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.012268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago White Sox47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56486653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe25…ce67backed Chicago White Sox2c1,157$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox44c1,121$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.572,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Chicago Cubs68c1,114$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4853261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox49c1,111$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.491,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Chicago White Sox47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago Cubs56c1,000$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Chicago Cubs56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4409350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago White Sox44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Chicago White Sox43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9982741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Chicago Cubs57c945$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.354252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox20c932.02$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.91,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Chicago Cubs74c920.99$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4647589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Chicago Cubs51c880.53$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.052,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1929449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Chicago Cubs56c858.02$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.8526857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Chicago Cubs57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34439850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago Cubs57c798$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1446749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Chicago Cubs55c777.67$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.493023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox38c746.73$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.599,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Chicago Cubs53c723.9$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.232,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago White Sox31c723.21$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.081,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Chicago White Sox4c680$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0126618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Chicago White Sox38c675.17$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4550337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox51c643.49$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.183,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox35c610.95$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.885,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Chicago Cubs56c606.27$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2351449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs57c604.18$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.653,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Chicago Cubs54c603.41$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.574450%22 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485a…a7c3backed Chicago White Sox67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026848.5%33 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs57c579$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9750751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox45c559.98$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.041,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Chicago White Sox43c558.14$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Chicago Cubs57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3261351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox23c500.84$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.731,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Chicago Cubs67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16517768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Chicago Cubs51c484.7$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9932350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Chicago White Sox43c465$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.951,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago White Sox41c457.09$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3360348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Chicago Cubs47c443.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3419248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Chicago White Sox2c439.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0317842.7%76 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Chicago Cubs65c439.58$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.61,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Chicago Cubs67c433.71$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2959549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs74c426.89$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.991,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Chicago White Sox45c403.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18040449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.