MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c6a98eb1382872dc6e2b86910280c6cb649d6f28a477d615da8a93cf56539ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Kiwoom Heroes, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 28c | 1,154$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…c9c9backed LG Twins | 37c | 1,007$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 858.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 79c | 844.05$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.04 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 63c | 717.52$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LG Twins | 34c | 693.22$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Kiwoom Heroes | 59c | 330$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 306.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed LG Twins | 66c | 223.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed LG Twins | 65c | 223.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 66c | 184.96$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 64c | 168.07$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 159.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 135.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LG Twins | 30c | 115.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 66c | 115$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 107.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed LG Twins | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…56e4backed LG Twins | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…3177backed Kiwoom Heroes | 66c | 93.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LG Twins | 17c | 93.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c87fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 83.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 64c | 71.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed LG Twins | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 60.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed LG Twins | 65c | 55.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 42c | 49.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 73c | 46.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 52c | 43.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed LG Twins | 65c | 38.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed Kiwoom Heroes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LG Twins | 68c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 58c | 28.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked LG Twins | 67c | 23.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed LG Twins | 69c | 23.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked LG Twins | 65c | 18.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed LG Twins | 58c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.