MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaadf72771c1e9832968b84f57aaec1041725e6727bb0652b97d5a195294e840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,599.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 48,888$29,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,821.67 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 17,843$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,527.35 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 13,895$8,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,615 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 5,739$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 5,565$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.65 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…5085backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,177$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,043$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,879$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 3,136$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 3,112$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,818$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.13 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81c…2dd4backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 2,746$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,291$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,099$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.04 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 2,061$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.22 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,961$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.77 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Seattle Mariners | 5c | 1,502$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,183$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,162$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 1,083$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 1,011$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 897$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.17 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 880.45$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 860.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 826.45$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.61 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 799.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 719.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 701$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.51 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 680$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 639$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 36c | 628.33$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.7 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 573.32$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.03 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 570$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 550$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 494.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.25 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 459.16$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 456.32$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 441.17$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.17 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 410.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 408$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 401$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 399.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 399.93$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 396.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.16 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 392$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 373.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 363$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 362.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 337.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 330$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 325.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 320.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 311.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.36 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 290$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 286.15$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 282.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 267.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 264$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 262.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 257$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 244.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 241.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 239.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 232.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 222.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 220.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 210.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 207.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 206.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 204.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 186.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4e98backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 177.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 174.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 167.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…77febacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 165.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 165.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 157.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 157.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Seattle Mariners | 32c | 155.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.