CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe34f20ad07fa08447a19d75b2a335d85bf93ee29c729e8481578f50e82b1b4

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FURIAof Team Falcons, FURIA
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $123,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $126,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,823 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed FURIA	75c	75,643$56,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,163.3	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Team Falcons	25c	53,661$13,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,415.36	73	63%46 W · 27 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+22%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons	28c	20,710$5,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,798.8	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked FURIA	72c	17,235$12,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,825.88	424	40.3%171 W · 253 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA	72c	12,500$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	500	54.4%272 W · 228 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Team Falcons	25c	12,288$3,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,094.84	361	52.6%190 W · 171 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Team Falcons	27c	5,343$1,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.5	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Team Falcons	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	98	34.7%34 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Team Falcons	27c	2,900$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779	612	28.9%177 W · 435 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons	27c	2,707$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.97	136	46.3%63 W · 73 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed FURIA	74c	2,000$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	174	60.3%105 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed FURIA	75c	1,601$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.33	200	59%118 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Team Falcons	28c	1,532$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429	227	40.5%92 W · 135 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons	27c	1,241$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	325	42.2%137 W · 188 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…20e0backed Team Falcons	28c	1,051$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.29	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Falcons	43c	954.19$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	275	52%143 W · 132 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked Team Falcons	26c	846.15$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Team Falcons	28c	825$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	104	51.9%54 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Team Falcons	28c	785.18$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.85	178	50%89 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Falcons	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Team Falcons	27c	599.99$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-9.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed FURIA	66c	561.26$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.61	202	51%103 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ef…2acabacked FURIA	73c	547.95$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.95	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	69cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons	39c	525.64$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	391	57.5%225 W · 166 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Team Falcons	35c	524.86$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.7	118	63.6%75 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons	27c	503.35$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.9	488	45.7%223 W · 265 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA	63c	418.97$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.89	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1933…a45cbacked Team Falcons	28c	346.93$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.14	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+144.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked FURIA	73c	341.23$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.13	61	63.9%39 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	364	50.3%183 W · 181 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Team Falcons	28c	267.86$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	158	56.3%89 W · 69 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e60…449abacked Team Falcons	14c	219.42$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.04	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b17…2aa5backed FURIA	73c	210.12$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.73	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked FURIA	69c	199.99$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	582	54.3%316 W · 266 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Team Falcons	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	238	42.4%101 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Team Falcons	23c	150$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	233	51.5%120 W · 113 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed Team Falcons	23c	149.74$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.15	135	45.9%62 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9235…3fbdbacked FURIA	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	-4.8wins	-0.12per pick	71cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed FURIA	69c	136.2$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.19	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Falcons	28c	125$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	613	38.2%234 W · 379 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons	30c	120.89$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.71	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Team Falcons	28c	118.18$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	113	41.6%47 W · 66 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked FURIA	74c	108.32$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.32	485	66.2%321 W · 164 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked Team Falcons	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons	34c	99.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	381	57.7%220 W · 161 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Team Falcons	27c	99.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed FURIA	28c	96.88$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.75	267	43.1%115 W · 152 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Team Falcons	26c	94.94$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Team Falcons	32c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	858	51.6%443 W · 415 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons	28c	77.89$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	428	45.6%195 W · 233 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked Team Falcons	28c	68.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	333	62.2%207 W · 126 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ad…dffebacked FURIA	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc453…31f5backed FURIA	74c	67.68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.68	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ba…26e9backed FURIA	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FURIA	27c	63.02$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed FURIA	30c	63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.28	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked FURIA	31c	62$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.78	135	56.3%76 W · 59 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons	27c	58.97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.92	303	40.3%122 W · 181 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb2…e33fbacked FURIA	73c	53.36$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Team Falcons	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed Team Falcons	26c	52.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Falcons	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Falcons	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	991	48.3%479 W · 512 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Team Falcons	21c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf3…1eabbacked Team Falcons	24c	49.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed FURIA	74c	47.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Team Falcons	33c	47.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Team Falcons	29c	44.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Team Falcons	33c	42.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	213	43.7%93 W · 120 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Team Falcons	72c	42.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.34	153	51.6%79 W · 74 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Team Falcons	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	140	55%77 W · 63 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons	73c	38.42$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.94	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e7…c87fbacked FURIA	73c	35.77$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked FURIA	73c	33.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.95	256	50.4%129 W · 127 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc803…7327backed FURIA	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed FURIA	73c	20.66$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.58	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ed66backed FURIA	73c	20.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed FURIA	73c	19.03$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.14	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f6…f9f7backed FURIA	73c	17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.59	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked FURIA	78c	16.57$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.62	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)this page
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event