TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over43c6,220$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.262,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under56c5,478$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.373,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under56c5,212$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.791,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under52c4,893$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.694,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under50c2,918$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.3888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Over50c2,001$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.9917554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,717$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.713,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under51c1,372$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7353746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over37c1,165$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.961,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under49c1,130$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.4581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed Over48c1,100$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57513333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over51c1,008$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.0431345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over29c1,006$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.645,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6309441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over63c992.06$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.812,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over51c931.44$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.4498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under69c913.73$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.221,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c861.61$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.81,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under51c611.25$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5117034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under52c519.23$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27022444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under71c478.08$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.443,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under5c450.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7627452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over48c438.64$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.094156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Over50c367.83$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9219747.2%93 W · 104 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Under49c356.86$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x455b…e3d7backed Under54c348.59$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.165354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Over48c296.4$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.42347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed Over43c215.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.831650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over44c212.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0345238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under58c211.71$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7317756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x858a…d869backed Over51c208.49$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469020%18 W · 72 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9033241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e67…8b45backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10212252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Over50c198.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0423842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under29c190$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.857935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Over38c184.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2114939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefc3…9889backed Under18c176.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under49c164.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.151,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under49c155.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.963,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa50…dc15backed Over50c153.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.945328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Over50c149.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.042948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+56.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under52c145$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7524841.1%102 W · 146 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over34c136.97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.41,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over54c130.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1933153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fb…7ecebacked Under9c120.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over48c120.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5915740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Under71c113.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over33c111.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.31,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.116347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Over43c111$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2733237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0422460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1836845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0367…74e4backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…b855backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5033156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Under72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7214545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab1a…4620backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c99.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.922,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…2d79backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Over32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7514639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4250056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over49c82.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.221,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under52c69.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.32,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over28c68.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8858745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under52c67.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3554348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5874…f58fbacked Over52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.462171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7398…29ebbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea9…5e86backed Over51c61.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.083135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c7c…1439backed Under50c59.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.462133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd3…246fbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x152f…1ee0backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under54c56.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.461,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c61…1d1abacked Over38c52.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.612272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32bb…8addbacked Over39c51.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.63354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under67c51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1941436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…d286backed Over49c41.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.027262.5%45 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135c…6d2fbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bed…fd9cbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020656.8%117 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over50c40.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.220145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.22334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a19…eb54backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209762.9%61 W · 36 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df4…a065backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over53c39.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7981246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2226443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over44c39.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.782,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b23…567bbacked Under52c38.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over44c34.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5431440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over44c34.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.149242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6118643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5921650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Over51c29.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.272661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.856650%33 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under44c25.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.173,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1229558.6%173 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under48c24.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9940635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under70c24.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.821,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.