MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33d0bae1e7dad0a7084b451291c98610fdb4330c3be11eb05fd5015065e2ced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed KT Wiz | 1c | 1,184$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed KT Wiz | 44c | 955.73$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed KT Wiz | 17c | 791.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 78c | 762.95$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 7c | 520.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 18c | 484.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 469.32$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed NC Dinos | 56c | 457.69$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed KT Wiz | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 8c | 387.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 80c | 346.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked KT Wiz | 23c | 279.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed KT Wiz | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 58c | 267.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…1c7abacked KT Wiz | 37c | 190.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked KT Wiz | 27c | 153.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 58c | 147.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed KT Wiz | 23c | 143.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 18c | 128.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c87fbacked NC Dinos | 64c | 109.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed KT Wiz | 41c | 104.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 39c | 99.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…56e4backed KT Wiz | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked NC Dinos | 58c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KT Wiz | 40c | 73.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked NC Dinos | 74c | 58.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed NC Dinos | 59c | 54.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed NC Dinos | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed NC Dinos | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed KT Wiz | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 79c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed NC Dinos | 62c | 39.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 79c | 24.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 59c | 23.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed NC Dinos | 49c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked NC Dinos | 72c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.