TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ad5…12d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5768.4%39 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.65
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.88
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$5.21
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.31
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.24
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.34
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$13.97
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.63
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.83
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$8.45
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.58
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.77
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.92
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+64.1%+$63.47
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$9.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.