TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked Over55c29,456$16,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,200.886437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under43c10,473$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,013.0113839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over58c7,411$4,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,298.438743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under41c6,380$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.0831441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over52c4,782$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.293243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.881752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over59c3,685$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.196567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c3,644$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.532,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under45c3,463$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.652951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under79c2,977$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.96666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Under43c2,842$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c2,661$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.7934239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over60c2,654$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.07540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c2,545$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.431,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.996836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over58c2,388$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.4727453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c1,799$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.4898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under68c1,754$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.6232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c1,597$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.8468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Under43c1,553$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under43c1,538$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.674242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over57c1,483$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.126936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Under43c1,390$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under43c1,332$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.026155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over56c1,189$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.792040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over59c1,178$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.669650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over55c1,170$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.354339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under40c1,147$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.345752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over56c1,105$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.247762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.962236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Under49c1,022$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.842524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under46c998$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.3710759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0abc…5a5cbacked Over57c859.65$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over58c799.99$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9941954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Under51c785.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under40c699.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.994641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Under51c688.14$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under43c681.35$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over57c611.77$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x690d…70adbacked Under42c605.82$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under43c565.14$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.132161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under43c496.56$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.642948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over44c488.89$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over57c467$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Under46c440$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.21020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over58c400.1$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.064955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under77c400$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2287954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over38c373.72$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4814442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over58c345$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over57c344.4$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.311070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under59c339.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.655166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under41c326$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3414258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under66c320$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.81560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over58c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.996028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Under43c286.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over58c283.26$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.292470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under44c265.64$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.961963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c6e…542dbacked Under49c248.6$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over59c245.48$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9619952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb352…cf91backed Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under44c230$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under44c226.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.064100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd130…5863backed Under44c225.45$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57b…7358backed Under41c203.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over57c200.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.442347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1184553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over58c193.1$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under47c185.7$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2719042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over58c178.87$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.75054%27 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over49c175.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861850%9 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over35c171.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under40c166.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.119857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under42c166.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.671656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Under44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over58c150.56$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under42c149.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5824953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under64c145.86$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.513141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over51c145.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c144.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Under43c142.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under60c139.87$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+105.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under42c130.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.952638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under42c130.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Under42c130$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed Under43c128.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.174100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+125.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c124.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9422545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under64c123.16$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under47c121$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5114651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.