Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9233d410c5a510dd6028159e5af965f3aaa0f5d38d1d3cb3a0f8f4cf4201d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Over | 55c | 29,456$16,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200.88 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 43c | 10,473$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,013.01 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 58c | 7,411$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.43 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 41c | 6,380$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.08 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 52c | 4,782$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 59c | 3,685$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.19 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,644$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.53 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 3,463$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 79c | 2,977$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Under | 43c | 2,842$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 2,661$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.79 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 60c | 2,654$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,545$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.43 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.99 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 2,388$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.47 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 1,799$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.48 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 1,754$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.62 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 1,597$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.84 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Under | 43c | 1,553$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 43c | 1,538$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.67 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 57c | 1,483$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.12 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Under | 43c | 1,390$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 43c | 1,332$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.02 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over | 56c | 1,189$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 59c | 1,178$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.66 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 1,170$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.35 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 40c | 1,147$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.34 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 56c | 1,105$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.24 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Under | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.84 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 998$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.37 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…5a5cbacked Over | 57c | 859.65$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 58c | 799.99$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Under | 51c | 785.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 40c | 699.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Under | 51c | 688.14$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under | 43c | 681.35$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 57c | 611.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…70adbacked Under | 42c | 605.82$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 43c | 565.14$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.13 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 43c | 496.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.64 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 44c | 488.89$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 57c | 467$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Under | 46c | 440$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 58c | 400.1$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.06 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Under | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 38c | 373.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over | 58c | 345$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 57c | 344.4$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 59c | 339.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 41c | 326$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 66c | 320$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Under | 43c | 286.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 58c | 283.26$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 44c | 265.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Under | 49c | 248.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 59c | 245.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb352…cf91backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under | 44c | 226.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…5863backed Under | 44c | 225.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…7358backed Under | 41c | 203.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 57c | 200.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 58c | 193.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 185.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 58c | 178.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 49c | 175.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 35c | 171.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 40c | 166.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Under | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 58c | 150.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 42c | 149.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 64c | 145.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 51c | 145.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 144.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Under | 43c | 142.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under | 60c | 139.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 42c | 130.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 42c | 130$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Under | 43c | 128.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 124.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 64c | 123.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 47c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.