Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af231f1e4ea7467e1ac9d19809f27ec84e2793fe71ec04f4d52a489dcd2e620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ACF Fiorentinaof Atalanta BC, ACF Fiorentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Atalanta BC | 19c | 5,671$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Atalanta BC | 16c | 2,563$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.94 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Atalanta BC | 23c | 2,415$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked ACF Fiorentina | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Atalanta BC | 18c | 1,641$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.19 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed ACF Fiorentina | 79c | 1,005$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked ACF Fiorentina | 80c | 999.73$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked ACF Fiorentina | 80c | 672.51$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ACF Fiorentina | 76c | 372.69$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atalanta BC | 20c | 241.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Atalanta BC | 22c | 235.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Atalanta BC | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atalanta BC | 13c | 135.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Atalanta BC | 19c | 131.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Atalanta BC | 20c | 104.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Atalanta BC | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…5283backed Atalanta BC | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked ACF Fiorentina | 80c | 75.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked ACF Fiorentina | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked ACF Fiorentina | 80c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.