Serie A · resolved market
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x017a61639bb835c18d6fce31865f9b1655fb49d6a178a54eadb60bc4d54ec33c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atalanta BCof ACF Fiorentina, Atalanta BC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33cc…77aabacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,540$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…4c63backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,030$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…36c4backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,030$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5851…ec04backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,030$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…7d8abacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,029$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…6190backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,020$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…924fbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,020$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…fff9backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,020$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaf…6418backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,020$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…596fbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,010$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…6a0ebacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 1,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a0…65fabacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 995$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff2…3654backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 989.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9993…172cbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 985$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fe…76bdbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 974$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…56b9backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 970$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…1d9cbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 969.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…9693backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 969$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…265ebacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 966$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…b29abacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 966$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…5f31backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 959.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…c7fabacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 957$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…283bbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 949.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f2…da07backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 948$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…02d5backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 947.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…2133backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 946$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…fe40backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 930$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…74d1backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 930$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…a6b3backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 918$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d52bbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 910$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…1fabbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 902.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…2c66backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 893.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…658cbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 866$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc09e…fd1abacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 860$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…a757backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 848.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff98…82cdbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 847$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…022cbacked ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 819.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db8…bd46backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 784.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…7b91backed ACF Fiorentina | 6c | 770$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed ACF Fiorentina | 4c | 418.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed ACF Fiorentina | 5c | 309.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.