TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c4,416$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.171,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Under65c2,728$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.996836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over14c2,261$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.592,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over35c2,001$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.395721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c1,954$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.5734239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over35c1,730$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.496936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Over35c1,710$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.651127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under62c1,620$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.4640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under64c1,560$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.46155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over36c1,475$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.076365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5fc…dbc6backed Under66c1,290$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c1,194$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.7419042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a8…d960backed Under64c1,163$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over36c1,008$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.924146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb352…cf91backed Under63c1,003$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28815844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Under65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under62c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2664641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over26c652.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.711643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under64c605.88$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9913839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeff…42fbbacked Under65c583.29$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over25c553.45$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.362433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over35c531.22$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c518.42$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over36c399.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over37c340.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over37c299.96$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.476028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Under65c296.92$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.923756.8%21 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under70c288$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.983857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under72c263.89$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.891172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over35c246.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3527453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over36c234.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.563737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over36c230.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c213.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2322545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over36c204.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.842347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c77…2eb1backed Under80c199.04$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over36c197.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.75054%27 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Over36c182.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over12c174$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.888242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Under66c170.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a2…875ebacked Over35c163.58$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over33c161.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c155.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4439354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under63c152.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.614258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over37c151.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under63c149.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over37c145.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.071118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfe…5439backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa52…eababacked Over37c135.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under65c135.38$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.387248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b6…70ffbacked Under73c135.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.48366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5817…987dbacked Under67c127.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Over28c108.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.362751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b6…3f0ebacked Under70c102.86$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under65c101.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.542176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3613146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc481…52eebacked Under68c87.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed Under65c87.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under65c84.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.62650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under76c82.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.532360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over35c80.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.112357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Under65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe853…6a93backed Over22c79.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over37c76.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.183050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bb1…da33backed Under65c73.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7d…2cabbacked Over27c61.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under70c56.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.617354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Under68c53.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.091275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf713…fdebbacked Over36c52.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2260%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over35c52.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2315946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Under65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Under64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under64c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over35c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b31…b2a3backed Over35c47.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Under65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.155100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+55.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Under73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d8…7f56backed Under72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Under65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77d…6f2fbacked Under75c35.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked Under65c35.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over31c32.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.136842.6%29 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed3…50fdbacked Under72c31.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…42d9backed Under65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…5eacbacked Under65c30.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7e…d3a0backed Under73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under66c29.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.192576%19 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.