NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52950fce7fe836b77b7368667d4f98cf8c22eb75f30f0e3b40e93e57a736385f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,008,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,040,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 673 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Celtics | 1c | 101,325$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.79 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…ce5ebacked Celtics | 35c | 70,951$24,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,832.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Celtics | 34c | 40,493$13,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,767.66 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Celtics | 36c | 33,312$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 8c | 32,147$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockets | 65c | 30,089$19,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,631.14 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Rockets | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Rockets | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Rockets | 64c | 28,599$18,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,171.74 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Celtics | 8c | 26,253$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Celtics | 36c | 20,314$7,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,267.63 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockets | 64c | 18,063$11,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.97 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Celtics | 1c | 16,729$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Rockets | 69c | 14,600$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.3 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…fe86backed Rockets | 3c | 14,200$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,774 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 28cpaid | +1,010.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Celtics | 3c | 12,165$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.96 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Celtics | 15c | 11,400$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.04 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rockets | 69c | 10,186$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.8 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets | 62c | 10,030$6,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.55 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Celtics | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Rockets | 64c | 9,929$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.49 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 63c | 9,600$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459b…5a65backed Celtics | 0c | 9,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rockets | 78c | 8,043$6,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.78 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Rockets | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics | 29c | 7,664$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.15 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Celtics | 12c | 7,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Celtics | 0c | 7,421$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Celtics | 35c | 7,068$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.58 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Rockets | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Celtics | 13c | 6,649$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Celtics | 38c | 6,100$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4b…002bbacked Celtics | 37c | 5,613$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.63 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Celtics | 38c | 5,267$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Celtics | 38c | 5,233$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Celtics | 3c | 4,827$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Celtics | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Celtics | 9c | 4,442$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.1 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rockets | 66c | 4,417$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.12 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Rockets | 68c | 4,127$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.89 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Celtics | 0c | 4,049$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Celtics | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0407backed Celtics | 1c | 3,810$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics | 3c | 3,530$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Celtics | 0c | 3,407$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 10c | 3,354$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Rockets | 65c | 3,074$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.72 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Rockets | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Rockets | 67c | 3,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Celtics | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfc…563ebacked Rockets | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 34c | 2,233$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Celtics | 17c | 2,227$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.88 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 64c | 2,159$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.25 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics | 16c | 2,118$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.03 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics | 2c | 2,095$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Rockets | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Rockets | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…39edbacked Celtics | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 61c | 1,847$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.42 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Rockets | 65c | 1,842$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.7 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Celtics | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockets | 65c | 1,689$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.71 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…94e5backed Celtics | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…e915backed Celtics | 36c | 1,546$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Rockets | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…59c1backed Rockets | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed Rockets | 71c | 1,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed Celtics | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…2068backed Rockets | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Celtics | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…625ebacked Celtics | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…eb0dbacked Celtics | 9c | 1,400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Celtics | 37c | 1,398$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.24 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Celtics | 36c | 1,316$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.64 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Rockets | 65c | 1,200$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.07 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets | 64c | 1,179$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.43 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Rockets | 62c | 1,158$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.21 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Rockets | 66c | 1,136$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.36 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30df…a425backed Celtics | 34c | 1,047$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…de85backed Celtics | 29c | 1,044$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…ab60backed Rockets | 66c | 1,002$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Rockets | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Rockets | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Rockets | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Rockets | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Celtics | 2c | 999.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…87f7backed Rockets | 66c | 983.08$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Celtics | 25c | 950$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.97 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Celtics | 33c | 916.06$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.3 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 65c | 899.43$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Rockets | 70c | 816$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…700bbacked Celtics | 13c | 809.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Rockets | 66c | 806.46$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.2 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Rockets | 66c | 757.86$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.77 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Rockets | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Rockets | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Celtics | 2c | 690$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Celtics | 37c | 677.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Celticsthis page
- Rockets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.