TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Jazz, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,017,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,084,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,017,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8652…3ce4backed Jazz0c122,097$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.160%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3987…259ebacked Hornets49c88,438$43,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,188.918022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Jazz32c50,118$15,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,843.147144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Jazz51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,499.9720253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…e5c9backed Hornets55c40,001$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,001.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…7679backed Jazz45c40,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0001080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Hornets48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,799.976253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591b…807cbacked Hornets55c35,000$19,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,7501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ae…0e0ebacked Jazz45c35,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,7501266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Hornets78c32,106$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,105.834062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Jazz16c31,987$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Jazz52c25,427$13,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,159.277739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Hornets61c25,041$15,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,734.077149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Jazz38c25,041$9,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,483.563748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Jazz53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,60017658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Jazz49c18,892$9,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,190.596654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz2c18,085$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765d…a4e9backed Jazz12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Hornets47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.9724650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz52c14,851$7,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,764.5935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz2c14,074$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Jazz42c11,104$4,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,652.8274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Jazz52c11,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7203138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz51c10,441$5,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Jazz50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz0c9,953$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Hornets48c9,942$4,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.8417354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jazz51c9,474$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,83036148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d99…c3e6backed Jazz42c9,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,780450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Jazz51c8,036$4,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,117.1847448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Jazz51c7,861$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.0671052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked Jazz41c7,200$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9523844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Jazz51c7,000$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5905556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x846b…05a0backed Hornets58c6,900$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Hornets76c6,647$5,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.8943051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets49c5,697$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.5380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Jazz53c5,653$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.8961851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hornets56c5,628$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.9655346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz1c4,956$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.778783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz52c4,948$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.771,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hornets54c4,324$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.052,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Hornets50c4,238$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,11913455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Jazz47c4,230$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.0940648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Jazz51c4,220$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.6612160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jazz52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.9762351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets66c4,093$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.8126038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Hornets47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Hornets49c3,661$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.366659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz1c3,518$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.987211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz23c3,089$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.271,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz3c3,081$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Jazz47c2,907$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.8744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz52c2,863$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.7692753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Hornets53c2,809$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.43256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c2,787$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.158820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Jazz51c2,679$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.171338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Jazz52c2,497$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3006352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9469…c249backed Hornets49c2,449$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Hornets56c2,298$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.1117141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jazz30c2,128$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.2727848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets51c2,100$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.962,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd7…9d91backed Hornets58c2,100$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Jazz1c2,080$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets49c2,050$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz51c2,038$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.422,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Jazz51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02017637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Jazz53c2,000$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.3410852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Hornets49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Hornets49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0203050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Jazz13c1,947$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1448739.8%194 W · 293 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Hornets49c1,776$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.761910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-72.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jazz51c1,750$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Hornets49c1,743$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.013951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…a976backed Jazz6c1,555$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014248.6%69 W · 73 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc414…fab1backed Jazz52c1,525$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jazz2c1,500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.671,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e54…5fdfbacked Jazz4c1,500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Jazz45c1,468$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.4838151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Jazz48c1,438$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6906145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Hornets49c1,400$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71412143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz41c1,397$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.7646928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jazz51c1,338$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.3869852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Jazz51c1,324$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.3630053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets68c1,270$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.721,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jazz4c1,239$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.534645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x462e…9cf8backed Jazz43c1,233$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5133…7783backed Jazz43c1,233$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf176…5d41backed Jazz43c1,213$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffb…8545backed Jazz43c1,209$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Jazz52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62418047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ea…3d5cbacked Jazz43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x428e…f175backed Hornets58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Jazz6c1,200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6614830.4%45 W · 103 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Jazz43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets62c1,111$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.241,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c0…93fdbacked Hornets52c1,111$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.337038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Jazz42c1,100$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45724330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9015…de85backed Jazz43c1,081$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4653834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.