NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276687effa5d60ed302509b3fc9fdb13594452a13736723f75d69511b3236439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $795,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $795,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Over | 44c | 766,488$336,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336,441.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Under | 56c | 227,300$127,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,012 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Under | 56c | 159,449$89,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,157.69 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 56c | 125,000$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Under | 56c | 116,981$65,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,407.89 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Under | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 57c | 19,667$11,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,456.81 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 17,000$9,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Under | 57c | 16,740$9,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,198.15 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 9,266$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 57c | 4,700$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 50c | 4,346$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.9 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed Under | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.26 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…870bbacked Over | 53c | 1,700$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…6874backed Under | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 50c | 1,586$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.13 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 614.39$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…4148backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 411.09$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 56c | 394.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Under | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…23a3backed Under | 55c | 303.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 53c | 193$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 44c | 135$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Under | 57c | 126.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 47c | 118$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…0995backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…bdb5backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 40c | 67.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Over | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5this page
- Jazz vs. HornetsHornets won
- Jazz vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Jazz vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.