TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eaglesof Eagles, Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1496…a429backed Lions48c92,143$44,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,033.2827454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Eagles51c55,555$28,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,221.957554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lions49c51,014$24,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,913.347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Eagles53c50,584$26,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,990.1531240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lions48c33,345$15,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,920.2686547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Eagles52c32,034$16,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,376.5417454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Lions49c30,858$14,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,976.0244652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Eagles51c30,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,60024957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Eagles54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.995764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Eagles53c10,660$5,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,010.385358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Eagles53c10,565$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,965.4514252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Lions47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Lions46c6,583$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0283545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Eagles52c6,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Lions47c5,499$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.5328447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Eagles52c4,888$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.2424056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06e3…cda8backed Lions48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Eagles51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9608845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lions32c3,940$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.868446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Eagles51c3,743$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.141963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Eagles66c3,505$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.6873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Eagles51c2,504$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.9283447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b8…8dedbacked Eagles51c2,150$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7237…7d40backed Lions48c2,150$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Lions49c2,147$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.6725744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Lions34c2,121$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.1423937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Eagles66c2,069$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.3960049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Eagles51c2,040$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.626650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Eagles53c2,033$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.6311740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Lions48c1,625$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7804351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Lions47c1,255$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9539242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Lions46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Lions46c1,020$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.37259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23dc…dd2dbacked Eagles53c1,017$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.98785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick43cpaid+111.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Eagles65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35011047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Lions48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.992552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Eagles52c861.54$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.547150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lions50c784$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39212550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Eagles53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3293333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lions47c696$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1214366.4%95 W · 48 L+13.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Eagles52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0814151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Lions50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Lions48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404650%23 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles50c476$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2381,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Eagles53c397$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0420238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Lions52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021151.2%108 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Eagles52c378$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4416346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Eagles53c343.4$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.42740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Lions46c330$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.810948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe930…99aebacked Lions48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0cc5…9cf9backed Lions49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506041.7%25 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9b7…4cb4backed Lions48c302.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Eagles52c287.95$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0914949%73 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Eagles53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.023056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Eagles52c282.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6224243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a8…57d5backed Lions48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Eagles52c208.65$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.155261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Lions48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabdf…3cbcbacked Lions48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Eagles50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10055345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4451…c6afbacked Lions48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Eagles53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9412151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Eagles52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Eagles51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Eagles53c189.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6616351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Eagles53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6811744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Eagles53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.688747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Lions13c165.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.047044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Eagles50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x018d…09e3backed Lions50c136.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Eagles51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.659348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Lions48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa54…c182backed Lions46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Lions48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc597…4ee7backed Lions24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea41…2312backed Lions28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Eagles53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.348736.8%32 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Lions48c86.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0417…a072backed Lions48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403250%16 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Lions49c80.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Eagles53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c1…012cbacked Eagles53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.66753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Lions47c77.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3165048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Eagles56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.438540%34 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lions47c69.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.751,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Eagles52c65.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3811048.2%53 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Eagles53c64.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.153345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x174c…cf64backed Lions49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc60a…0a07backed Lions50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Lions30c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65721.1%12 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Lions48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9660%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0488…aea5backed Lions48c50.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.324348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Lions48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2429751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…8532backed Eagles53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d9…9418backed Eagles53c49.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Lions51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516048.1%77 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2992…e409backed Lions48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Lions49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Lions50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.