NFL · resolved market
Star Power Parlay - St. Brown 50+ receiving yards, Hurts 25+ rushing yards, Total 41+ points
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6423020b98c9cabed5807572a05c7a12d04c71f901765b8f05897279efdc061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Yes | 35c | 730$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 64c | 574.14$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…466fbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 36c | 160$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Yes | 35c | 142.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed No | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked No | 65c | 99.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed No | 65c | 71.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…50f2backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…1451backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 34c | 40.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Yes | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed No | 69c | 23.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…6dd2backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Star Power Parlay - St. Brown 50+ receiving yards, Hurts 25+ rushing yards, Total 41+ pointsthis page
- Lions vs. EaglesEagles won
- Lions vs. Eagles: 1H MoneylineEagles won
- Lions vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5Under won
- Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5Under won
- Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 48.5Under won
- Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.