NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58f574b8c5d323c8b48deea549ba98918d9ea44c9c425bf064892fa9a9d130f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Lions | 58c | 29,267$17,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,083.79 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Eagles | 42c | 19,050$8,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles | 43c | 9,337$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.58 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lions | 56c | 7,142$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.52 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 57c | 5,569$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.63 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Lions | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Lions | 58c | 1,723$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.51 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Eagles | 43c | 1,659$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.43 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lions | 50c | 1,632$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.68 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Eagles | 46c | 992$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.68 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Eagles | 43c | 925.58$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.58 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles | 41c | 914.67$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.31 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Eagles | 56c | 680$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.09 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…3141backed Lions | 57c | 627.61$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.74 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Eagles | 44c | 625$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lions | 56c | 595.81$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Eagles | 43c | 551.16$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1967backed Eagles | 42c | 520$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…3a70backed Lions | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lions | 57c | 466.57$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…46fcbacked Lions | 61c | 459.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Lions | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Eagles | 41c | 319$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Eagles | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…0b02backed Lions | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Eagles | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Eagles | 44c | 222$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…4da7backed Lions | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Eagles | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Eagles | 43c | 199.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Lions | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Eagles | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Lions | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Eagles | 44c | 97.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Lions | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eagles | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Lions | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Eagles | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Lions | 58c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Lions | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Lions | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Lions | 59c | 27.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)this page
- Lions vs. EaglesEagles won
- Lions vs. Eagles: 1H MoneylineEagles won
- Lions vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5Under won
- Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5Under won
- Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 48.5Under won
- Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Eagles won
- Star Power Parlay - St. Brown 50+ receiving yards, Hurts 25+ rushing yards, Total 41+ pointsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.