NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32fb87726d13692a6bde19d2cbeace890c1364a61c7c3e25c7c2650030c3b127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 53c | 13,949$7,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.51 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Clippers | 47c | 12,853$6,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,040.91 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Clippers | 48c | 10,494$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.97 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Warriors | 53c | 9,854$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.38 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Clippers | 47c | 4,773$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.49 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 53c | 4,057$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Clippers | 47c | 1,271$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.14 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Clippers | 2c | 771.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Warriors | 54c | 497$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.62 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Warriors | 54c | 374.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.15 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Clippers | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 43c | 354$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Clippers | 47c | 339.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Clippers | 46c | 302.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Clippers | 44c | 299.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Clippers | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…38b9backed Clippers | 49c | 102.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Warriors | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Warriors | 51c | 74.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Clippers | 47c | 54.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Warriors | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…3b9dbacked Clippers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Warriors | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…6407backed Warriors | 53c | 36.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Warriors | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Warriors | 54c | 20.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.