NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x343e3674e9cd3737b0f4f4126e2672cf9555ad1d2ff9d3fd94cd33ccf1f1a61f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Over | 50c | 82,358$41,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,414.88 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Under | 50c | 37,731$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,731 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 37,028$18,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,491.17 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Under | 51c | 25,397$12,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,533.59 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 51c | 23,660$12,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,046.29 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 20,568$10,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,416.14 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 7,300$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 49c | 5,250$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.4 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 51c | 3,960$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.6 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 3,150$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.39 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Over | 52c | 2,403$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.72 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed Under | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 48c | 1,896$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,684$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.68 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,525$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Over | 51c | 1,031$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.74 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 850.37$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 48c | 767.94$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.33 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 48c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 396.15$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Over | 51c | 200.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…a167backed Over | 51c | 200.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 50c | 188.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 48c | 176.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 52c | 169.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 169$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed Over | 51c | 141.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Under | 52c | 119.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…8029backed Over | 51c | 112.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 101.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…ac75backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…9cdfbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…cd79backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 30c | 45.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65d…4de7backed Over | 51c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.