Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cea1dda20bc5fc2ca50a05e16e59f876d75a13c33b08ebfce6f4305dd0221b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Joseph's Hawksof Saint Joseph's Hawks, Davidson Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,145 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Davidson Wildcats | 52c | 25,022$13,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,010.63 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 24,990$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,990.72 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 59c | 699.85$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.94 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Davidson Wildcats | 41c | 435.07$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 268.47$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 234.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Davidson Wildcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Davidson Wildcats | 47c | 186.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 62c | 159.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 133.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 102.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 99.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Davidson Wildcats | 43c | 97.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 83.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Davidson Wildcats | 46c | 68.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 49.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Davidson Wildcats | 51c | 36.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Davidson Wildcats | 50c | 27.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-2.5)this page
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's HawksSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks: O/U 131.5Under won
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks: O/U 132.5Under won
- Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
- Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-5.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
- Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-6.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.