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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Joseph's Hawksof Davidson Wildcats, Saint Joseph's Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,364 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Davidson Wildcats45c23,718$10,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,662.724351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Saint Joseph's Hawks55c13,601$7,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,119.4519950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks58c13,309$7,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.885752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Saint Joseph's Hawks57c7,906$4,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.951,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Davidson Wildcats43c7,777$3,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.882,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Davidson Wildcats42c4,259$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.742,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Saint Joseph's Hawks67c3,515$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.932,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Saint Joseph's Hawks55c3,000$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.9961652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Davidson Wildcats36c1,315$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.273,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Davidson Wildcats31c1,182$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.1849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Saint Joseph's Hawks67c667.53$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.853,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Davidson Wildcats28c627.52$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.252,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Saint Joseph's Hawks67c383.44$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3464647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Davidson Wildcats44c376.72$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Davidson Wildcats36c359.29$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.545,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Davidson Wildcats32c358$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.66720.9%14 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks70c303.55$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.065,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Davidson Wildcats45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Saint Joseph's Hawks55c297.4$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.831,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Davidson Wildcats9c291.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Davidson Wildcats42c237.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7982846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Davidson Wildcats43c227.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.329341.9%39 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Davidson Wildcats42c224.07$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0325837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Saint Joseph's Hawks58c199.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7842934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Davidson Wildcats44c198.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.242,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Davidson Wildcats31c198.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4525829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Davidson Wildcats34c190.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks69c155.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.824,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks78c150.82$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7726945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Davidson Wildcats32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Davidson Wildcats36c137.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.69745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Saint Joseph's Hawks57c120.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6112749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Davidson Wildcats42c117.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2231448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Davidson Wildcats44c117.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Davidson Wildcats35c116.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Davidson Wildcats44c114.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Saint Joseph's Hawks62c101.72$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.025052%26 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Davidson Wildcats17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Davidson Wildcats43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4349157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Saint Joseph's Hawks56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.999866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.284,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Saint Joseph's Hawks57c86.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.410034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Joseph's Hawks74c83.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.834,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Saint Joseph's Hawks59c69.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4619641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Saint Joseph's Hawks69c61.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Davidson Wildcats43c52.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6433445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks57c52.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4419554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks67c50.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5516243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Davidson Wildcats36c46.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.961,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1736…32f1backed Davidson Wildcats44c45.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Davidson Wildcats44c44.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.386347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Davidson Wildcats41c38.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9531646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Davidson Wildcats42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks70c34.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4710638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks60c33.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks78c30.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7345953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Davidson Wildcats43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.756253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Davidson Wildcats42c24.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4111840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Saint Joseph's Hawks57c18.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc01d…2e79backed Saint Joseph's Hawks57c17.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.675354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.