NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x827d872d1894c3a68dfb1e730df4d98b96e5295aead582ca430829730220d161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Kings, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Sharks | 55c | 41,383$22,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,622.19 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 45c | 23,229$10,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,453 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 45c | 8,042$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.99 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 45c | 5,967$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.73 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 30c | 3,034$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.81 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 10c | 2,979$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.88 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 54c | 1,934$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.69 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 45c | 1,321$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.69 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 45c | 1,014$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.34 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 21c | 923.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 45c | 778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kings | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Sharks | 53c | 527.88$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.1 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kings | 46c | 460$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Kings | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Kings | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Kings | 65c | 309.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Sharks | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Kings | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Kings | 46c | 280.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Sharks | 56c | 249$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Kings | 36c | 226$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 46c | 220$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Kings | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…7f3bbacked Sharks | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Kings | 7c | 196.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed Kings | 45c | 195$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kings | 44c | 192.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Kings | 9c | 188.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 49c | 162.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Sharks | 55c | 147$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Sharks | 16c | 126.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sharks | 56c | 112.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Kings | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kings | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…6f35backed Kings | 46c | 106.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kings | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Kings | 46c | 90.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 45c | 89.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Kings | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Kings | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Sharks | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Sharks | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Sharks | 70c | 40.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Sharks | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Kings | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Kings | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Kings | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Kings | 46c | 31.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…9977backed Sharks | 63c | 24.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Kings | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Sharks | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Kings | 45c | 23.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Sharks | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Sharks | 65c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. KingsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.