NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d678f8b0277bf4c364d5fc4dcd2c4516af80ca2c1ccf081af92f0e01c2d2282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 59c | 4,867$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.78 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 3,017$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.41 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 58c | 2,693$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.58 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 43c | 2,109$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.95 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 1,997$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.39 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 46c | 1,593$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.51 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 42c | 1,369$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.86 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 11c | 1,136$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 1,004$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.28 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 3c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 45c | 999.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 60c | 960.69$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 57c | 510.95$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 42c | 440$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 47c | 416.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.39 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 42c | 365.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.62 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 330.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.16 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 22c | 230.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 36c | 196.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 57c | 169.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…765cbacked Under | 65c | 168.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 42c | 167.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…9e0abacked Under | 42c | 162.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Over | 57c | 157$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 49c | 113.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 58c | 106.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…9fddbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Over | 68c | 79.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 57c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 74.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed Over | 56c | 68.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Over | 58c | 54.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Over | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 42c | 45.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 43c | 42.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Under | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Under | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Under | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Under | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 37c | 37.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Under | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Under | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…be40backed Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Under | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 60c | 27.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Under | 77c | 26.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…0865backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 60c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 60c | 20.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Sharks vs. KingsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.