NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0f57affd5c64a1b2d5b0634640758a6d84c8b62284aa2684743f141c4794919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 6,474$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.9 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 53c | 6,466$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.83 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 3,644$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.15 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.84 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,180$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.87 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 2,172$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.78 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 55c | 1,479$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.65 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 14c | 892$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…9e0abacked Over | 44c | 374.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 361$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 44c | 350.73$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.41 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 55c | 333$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 246.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Under | 56c | 205.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Over | 45c | 195$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Under | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 134$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Under | 56c | 98.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 94.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 45c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over | 47c | 34.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 56c | 34.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…02b3backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…2f6ebacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 55c | 21.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. KingsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.